Educational reference. Measured from 276 recorded 5m bars of ZN (10 Year T Note) on Wednesday, September 16, 2026.
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RSI crossed above 70 4 separate times during the session, and the typical visit lasted 15 minutes. Across the whole session it sat above 70 for 4.3% of the time, between 30 and 70 for 88.4%, and below 30 for 7.2%.
| Band | Share of session | Bars | Separate visits | Median visit | Longest visit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 70 | 4.3% | 12 | 4 | 15 min | 25 min | |
| Between 30 and 70 | 88.4% | 244 | 11 | 70 min | 375 min | |
| Below 30 | 7.2% | 20 | 6 | 12 min | 30 min |
RSI compares the size of recent gains with recent losses, so a reading above 70 says buying has dominated the last 14 bars — not that price is high. A long stay above 70 is a market trending up, which is the opposite of the reversal the word 'overbought' suggests.
Here the reading entered overbought territory 4 times, with a median stay of 15 minutes and a longest of 25. A brief excursion above 70 that resolves in minutes is noise on this timeframe. A sustained one is the signature of a trend that is still running, and selling into it is how traders get run over.
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NT8 why do AI indicator predictions change for ZN A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →
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