Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 5 minute chart, November 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 13, 2026, 2:13 AM to 4:38 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 13, 2026 at 2:13 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 5 minute chart read 81.4815. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:38 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

11.7751.0290.26Nov 13, 2:13 AM ET4:38 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

11.7751.0290.26Nov 13, 2:13 AM ET4:38 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:13 AM ET81.4815
Projected value at 4:38 AM ET47.1539
Actual value at 4:38 AM ET16.8201
Projected change across the window-34.3276
Actual change across the window-64.6614
Bars moving the same direction22 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.53 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (2:23 AM ET), where they sat 4.4488 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (3:03 AM ET) with a gap of 66.0023. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (2:53 AM ET), a move of -22.0513. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:18 AM95.535285.5923-9.94285
62:43 AM82.412845.7265-36.6863
123:13 AM74.438913.459-60.9799
183:43 AM71.181422.5806-48.6007
244:13 AM58.667330.8898-27.7775
294:38 AM47.153916.8201-30.3338

About Stochastic %K on a 5 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Indicator to predict the next candle on Russell 2000 futures Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 RTY chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.