Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 5 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 11:19 PM to 1:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 12, 2026 at 11:19 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 5 minute chart read 12.7345. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.09746.484.71Nov 12, 11:19 PM ET1:44 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:19 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.09746.484.71Nov 12, 11:19 PM ET1:44 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:19 PM ET12.7345
Projected value at 1:44 AM ET83.1811
Actual value at 1:44 AM ET88.8359
Projected change across the window+70.4467
Actual change across the window+76.1014
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (11:19 PM ET), where they sat 0.340537 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (12:09 AM ET) with a gap of 31.4211. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (12:59 AM ET), a move of +18.6992. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:24 PM11.330210.862-0.468197
611:49 PM7.2873327.2145+19.9271
1212:19 AM60.441540.1515-20.29
1812:49 AM44.326524.3902-19.9363
241:19 AM45.505756.4713+10.9656
291:44 AM83.181188.8359+5.65473

About Stochastic %K on a 5 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.