Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 30 minute chart, November 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 13, 2026, 11:17 AM to 1:47 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 13, 2026 at 11:17 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 30 minute chart read 39.0071. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:47 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.0847.0787.05Nov 13, 11:17 AM ET1:47 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:17 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.0847.0787.05Nov 13, 11:17 AM ET1:47 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:17 AM ET39.0071
Projected value at 1:47 AM ET81.7387
Actual value at 1:47 AM ET81.3333
Projected change across the window+42.7316
Actual change across the window+42.3262
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.01×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.01 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (4:17 PM ET), where they sat 0.39927 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (10:47 PM ET) with a gap of 54.4946. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (11:47 PM ET), a move of +20. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:47 AM37.761451.0638+13.3024
62:17 PM92.424644-48.4246
125:17 PM80.311664.3587-15.953
188:17 PM53.036311.7589-41.2774
2411:17 PM63.512620.0794-43.4332
291:47 AM81.738781.3333-0.405382

About Stochastic %K on a 30 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 30 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.