Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 1 minute chart, November 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 13, 2026, 12:17 PM to 12:46 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 13, 2026 at 12:17 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 1 minute chart read 24.0741. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:46 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.09546.0382.96Nov 13, 12:17 PM ET12:46 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:17 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.09546.0382.96Nov 13, 12:17 PM ET12:46 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:17 PM ET24.0741
Projected value at 12:46 PM ET59.1986
Actual value at 12:46 PM ET4.1351
Projected change across the window+35.1245
Actual change across the window-19.939
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.76×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.76 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (12:22 PM ET), where they sat 0.182979 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (12:45 PM ET) with a gap of 66.6605. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (12:37 PM ET), a move of -20.7312. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:18 PM51.286732.2061-19.0806
612:23 PM53.99355.718+1.72499
1212:29 PM86.814385.8586-0.955747
1812:35 PM39.739672.6349+32.8954
2412:41 PM38.373911.1111-27.2628
2912:46 PM59.19864.1351-55.0635

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.