Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 1 minute chart, November 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 13, 2026, 10:33 AM to 11:02 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 13, 2026 at 10:33 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 1 minute chart read 7.01754. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:02 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.49750.1991.88Nov 13, 10:33 AM ET11:02 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:33 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.49750.1991.88Nov 13, 10:33 AM ET11:02 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:33 AM ET7.01754
Projected value at 11:02 AM ET47.0943
Actual value at 11:02 AM ET77.7778
Projected change across the window+40.0768
Actual change across the window+70.7602
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (10:56 AM ET), where they sat 0.485321 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:33 AM ET) with a gap of 85.1236. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (11:02 AM ET), a move of +16.6667. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:34 AM97.474515.3509-82.1236
610:39 AM81.38265.56039-75.8222
1210:45 AM75.2773.11594-72.1611
1810:51 AM33.681535.8974+2.21592
2410:57 AM66.871881.8182+14.9464
2911:02 AM47.094377.7778+30.6835

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.