Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, November 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 4, 2026, 3:18 PM to 3:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 4, 2026 at 3:18 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 79.7142. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.2754784.73Nov 4, 3:18 PM ET3:47 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 3:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.2754784.73Nov 4, 3:18 PM ET3:47 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:18 PM ET79.7142
Projected value at 3:47 PM ET38.3734
Actual value at 3:47 PM ET10.0831
Projected change across the window-41.3407
Actual change across the window-69.6311
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (3:18 PM ET), where they sat 1.6987 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (3:40 PM ET) with a gap of 67.8105. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (3:34 PM ET), a move of +22.9938. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:19 PM86.218678.067-8.1516
63:24 PM83.146275.5109-7.63525
123:30 PM71.397517.872-53.5255
183:36 PM70.519254.5467-15.9725
243:42 PM68.368224.0465-44.3217
293:47 PM38.373410.0831-28.2903

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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NT8 why do AI indicator predictions change for Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.