Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — MYM, 1 minute chart, October 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 15, 2026, 11:14 AM to 11:43 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 15, 2026 at 11:14 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the MYM 1 minute chart read 22.3958. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:43 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

19.4653.1686.86Oct 15, 11:14 AM ET11:43 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:14 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

19.4653.1686.86Oct 15, 11:14 AM ET11:43 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:14 AM ET22.3958
Projected value at 11:43 AM ET73.1723
Actual value at 11:43 AM ET59.6817
Projected change across the window+50.7764
Actual change across the window+37.2859
Bars moving the same direction17 of 27
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.36×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.36 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 63% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (11:33 AM ET), where they sat 0.390293 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:14 AM ET) with a gap of 68.9034. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (11:40 AM ET), a move of -15.9443. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:15 AM91.386930.7292-60.6577
611:20 AM65.849619.2791-46.5705
1211:26 AM62.720588.3598+25.6393
1811:32 AM50.440462.7451+12.3047
2411:38 AM46.19988.2353+42.0363
2911:43 AM73.172359.6817-13.4906

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of MYM activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.