Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — MYM, 1 minute chart, October 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 15, 2026, 10:48 AM to 11:17 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 15, 2026 at 10:48 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the MYM 1 minute chart read 84.8039. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:17 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.22743.0479.86Oct 15, 10:48 AM ET11:17 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:48 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.22743.0479.86Oct 15, 10:48 AM ET11:17 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:48 AM ET84.8039
Projected value at 11:17 AM ET43.8893
Actual value at 11:17 AM ET34.6908
Projected change across the window-40.9146
Actual change across the window-50.1131
Bars moving the same direction19 of 27
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 70% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (10:55 AM ET), where they sat 1.74795 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:48 AM ET) with a gap of 52.9229. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (11:17 AM ET), a move of +19.3062. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:49 AM32.681268.8596+36.1785
610:54 AM42.592756.3218+13.7292
1211:00 AM48.512154.1667+5.65455
1811:06 AM55.824523.3966-32.428
2411:12 AM40.182532.381-7.80159
2911:17 AM43.889334.6908-9.19851

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of MYM activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.