Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — MYM, 1 minute chart, October 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 14, 2026, 10:38 AM to 11:07 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 14, 2026 at 10:38 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the MYM 1 minute chart read 5.98633. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:07 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.7846.4582.11Oct 14, 10:38 AM ET11:07 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:38 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.7846.4582.11Oct 14, 10:38 AM ET11:07 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:38 AM ET5.98633
Projected value at 11:07 AM ET21.2602
Actual value at 11:07 AM ET22.807
Projected change across the window+15.2739
Actual change across the window+16.8207
Bars moving the same direction17 of 27
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.91×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.91 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 63% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (10:40 AM ET), where they sat 0.128524 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (10:57 AM ET) with a gap of 33.5083. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (10:51 AM ET), a move of +16.4021. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:39 AM20.745211.1111-9.63411
610:44 AM43.013522.8395-20.174
1210:50 AM59.182144.709-14.4731
1810:56 AM61.037686.9048+25.8671
2411:02 AM56.820858.5163+1.6955
2911:07 AM21.260222.807+1.54678

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of MYM activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.