Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — MYM, 1 minute chart, October 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 13, 2026, 10:32 AM to 11:01 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 13, 2026 at 10:32 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the MYM 1 minute chart read 9.99818. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:01 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.07750.4391.78Oct 13, 10:32 AM ET11:01 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:32 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.07750.4391.78Oct 13, 10:32 AM ET11:01 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:32 AM ET9.99818
Projected value at 11:01 AM ET64.2635
Actual value at 11:01 AM ET39.4896
Projected change across the window+54.2654
Actual change across the window+29.4915
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (10:42 AM ET), where they sat 2.1426 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (10:56 AM ET) with a gap of 51.473. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (10:43 AM ET), a move of -19.3711. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:33 AM54.645510.0049-44.6406
610:38 AM55.673939.4822-16.1917
1210:44 AM29.899112.0892-17.8098
1810:50 AM88.981671.9597-17.0219
2410:56 AM97.335845.8627-51.473
2911:01 AM64.263539.4896-24.7739

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of MYM activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.