Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — MYM, 1 minute chart, October 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 12, 2026, 6:20 PM to 6:49 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 12, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the MYM 1 minute chart read 33.6861. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:49 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

20.1755.1790.17Oct 12, 6:20 PM ET6:49 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 6:20 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

20.1755.1790.17Oct 12, 6:20 PM ET6:49 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:20 PM ET33.6861
Projected value at 6:49 PM ET54.8437
Actual value at 6:49 PM ET15.4684
Projected change across the window+21.1577
Actual change across the window-18.2177
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.16×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.16 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (6:42 PM ET), where they sat 0.974165 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:20 PM ET) with a gap of 61.1857. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (6:45 PM ET), a move of -23.8095. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:21 PM93.352735.8025-57.5502
66:26 PM85.62667.433-18.1931
126:32 PM81.796751.4057-30.391
186:38 PM85.112659.6899-25.4227
246:44 PM49.111281.9048+32.7935
296:49 PM54.843715.4684-39.3753

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of MYM activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.