Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — MYM, 1 minute chart, October 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 12, 2026, 11:53 AM to 12:22 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 12, 2026 at 11:53 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the MYM 1 minute chart read 76.7677. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:22 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.09348.9488.79Oct 12, 11:53 AM ET12:22 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:53 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.09348.9488.79Oct 12, 11:53 AM ET12:22 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:53 AM ET76.7677
Projected value at 12:22 PM ET75.9984
Actual value at 12:22 PM ET77.5194
Projected change across the window-0.769277
Actual change across the window+0.751703
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (12:13 PM ET), where they sat 0.697589 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (12:15 PM ET) with a gap of 68.6405. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (12:17 PM ET), a move of +25.07. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:54 AM75.452280.8378+5.38558
611:59 AM78.098871.7113-6.38756
1212:05 PM81.042993.2099+12.167
1812:11 PM56.196351.3333-4.86296
2412:17 PM85.275151.81-33.4652
2912:22 PM75.998477.5194+1.52098

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of MYM activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.