Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 59 minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 2:30 PM to 7:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 22, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 59 minute chart read 76.0982. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

31.3962.293.01Sep 22, 2:30 PM ET7:01 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:30 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

31.3962.293.01Sep 22, 2:30 PM ET7:01 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:30 PM ET76.0982
Projected value at 7:01 PM ET47.4657
Actual value at 7:01 PM ET54.902
Projected change across the window-28.6325
Actual change across the window-21.1962
Bars moving the same direction21 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.35×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.35 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 75% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (10:22 PM ET), where they sat 0.426465 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (4:28 PM ET) with a gap of 49.6268. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (3:29 PM ET), a move of +19.093. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:29 PM51.721795.1912+43.4695
68:24 PM41.084360.7162+19.6319
122:18 AM49.504248.2222-1.28198
188:12 AM49.413770.405+20.9913
242:06 PM50.602168.7566+18.1544
297:01 PM47.465754.902+7.43628

About Stochastic %K on a 59 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 59 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.