Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 59 minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 10:20 AM to 2:51 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 22, 2026 at 10:20 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 59 minute chart read 6.84646. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:51 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.8547.9885.12Sep 22, 10:20 AM ET2:51 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:20 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.8547.9885.12Sep 22, 10:20 AM ET2:51 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:20 AM ET6.84646
Projected value at 2:51 PM ET47.1729
Actual value at 2:51 PM ET43.1244
Projected change across the window+40.3264
Actual change across the window+36.2779
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (11:07 PM ET), where they sat 0.235755 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (11:19 AM ET) with a gap of 41.6165. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (11:07 PM ET), a move of +18.8546. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:19 AM47.62026.00375-41.6165
64:14 PM35.0621.2121-13.8479
1210:08 PM48.38830.7115-17.6765
184:02 AM47.847476.1438+28.2964
249:56 AM48.243561.719+13.4755
292:51 PM47.172943.1244-4.04845

About Stochastic %K on a 59 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 59 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.