Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 59 minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 10:01 AM to 2:32 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 22, 2026 at 10:01 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 59 minute chart read 70.6148. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:32 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

26.2355.1184Sep 22, 10:01 AM ET2:32 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:01 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

26.2355.1184Sep 22, 10:01 AM ET2:32 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:01 AM ET70.6148
Projected value at 2:32 PM ET48.5298
Actual value at 2:32 PM ET26.6625
Projected change across the window-22.085
Actual change across the window-43.9524
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.50×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.50 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (5:53 PM ET), where they sat 0.564775 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (7:39 AM ET) with a gap of 38.7184. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (10:36 AM ET), a move of -21.2766. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:00 AM52.294470.954+18.6596
63:55 PM52.184866.5857+14.4009
129:49 PM46.757955.5588+8.80099
183:43 AM47.853980.1035+32.2496
249:37 AM47.016955.3191+8.30228
292:32 PM48.529826.6625-21.8674

About Stochastic %K on a 59 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 59 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 29.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 29.5 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.