Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 10:03 AM to 10:32 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 12, 2026 at 10:03 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 15.2363. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:32 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.5347.6884.82Nov 12, 10:03 AM ET10:32 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:03 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.5347.6884.82Nov 12, 10:03 AM ET10:32 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:03 AM ET15.2363
Projected value at 10:32 AM ET51.5012
Actual value at 10:32 AM ET45.7738
Projected change across the window+36.2649
Actual change across the window+30.5375
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.19×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.19 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (10:05 AM ET), where they sat 0.68417 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (10:20 AM ET) with a gap of 62.783. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (10:31 AM ET), a move of -26.25. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:04 AM7.717679.87367+2.156
610:09 AM19.193716.1706-3.02311
1210:15 AM35.347712.5706-22.7771
1810:21 AM53.396713.7955-39.6011
2410:27 AM61.814966.3197+4.50477
2910:32 AM51.501245.7738-5.72737

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.