Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 14, 2026, 10:43 AM to 11:12 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 14, 2026 at 10:43 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 7.83409. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:12 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

13.0952.291.31Oct 14, 10:43 AM ET11:12 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:43 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

13.0952.291.31Oct 14, 10:43 AM ET11:12 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:43 AM ET7.83409
Projected value at 11:12 AM ET68.4756
Actual value at 11:12 AM ET77.7484
Projected change across the window+60.6415
Actual change across the window+69.9143
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (11:02 AM ET), where they sat 0.530605 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (10:51 AM ET) with a gap of 73.6891. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (11:01 AM ET), a move of +15.6447. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:44 AM57.15849.85953-47.2989
610:49 AM74.457610.0238-64.4338
1210:55 AM79.238718.2748-60.9639
1811:01 AM60.020963.285+3.26411
2411:07 AM44.171195.9144+51.7432
2911:12 AM68.475677.7484+9.27278

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.