Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 13, 2026, 11:21 AM to 11:50 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 13, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 38.1849. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:50 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.1533.3356.51Oct 13, 11:21 AM ET11:50 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:21 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.1533.3356.51Oct 13, 11:21 AM ET11:50 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:21 AM ET38.1849
Projected value at 11:50 AM ET16.4718
Actual value at 11:50 AM ET14.5358
Projected change across the window-21.7132
Actual change across the window-23.6491
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (11:43 AM ET), where they sat 0.0544605 apart, and furthest at bar 26 (11:47 AM ET) with a gap of 46.1763. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (11:22 AM ET), a move of -16.8603. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:22 AM27.752321.3246-6.4277
611:27 AM17.399711.82-5.57963
1211:33 AM27.813812.4339-15.38
1811:39 AM33.8539.81528-24.0377
2411:45 AM57.324837.4854-19.8394
2911:50 AM16.471814.5358-1.93599

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.