Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 11, 2026, 6:45 PM to 7:14 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 11, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 38.2353. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:14 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

28.9758.3187.65Oct 11, 6:45 PM ET7:14 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 6:45 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

28.9758.3187.65Oct 11, 6:45 PM ET7:14 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:45 PM ET38.2353
Projected value at 7:14 PM ET45.6305
Actual value at 7:14 PM ET45.1819
Projected change across the window+7.39516
Actual change across the window+6.94661
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (7:14 PM ET), where they sat 0.448545 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (6:55 PM ET) with a gap of 43.6331. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (7:10 PM ET), a move of -30.043. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:46 PM62.350448.0392-14.3112
66:51 PM69.554956.2092-13.3458
126:57 PM75.497850.4458-25.052
187:03 PM64.984585.7909+20.8064
247:09 PM56.539871.7766+15.2368
297:14 PM45.630545.1819-0.448545

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.