Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 10, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 10, 2026, 10:13 AM to 10:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 10, 2026 at 10:13 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 87.6289. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

19.3953.2687.12Oct 10, 10:13 AM ET10:42 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

19.3953.2687.12Oct 10, 10:13 AM ET10:42 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:13 AM ET87.6289
Projected value at 10:42 AM ET45.4632
Actual value at 10:42 AM ET48.0808
Projected change across the window-42.1657
Actual change across the window-39.5481
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.07×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.07 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (10:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.88082 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (10:37 AM ET) with a gap of 76.4581. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (10:42 AM ET), a move of -22.1438. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:14 AM53.055187.3616+34.3065
610:19 AM53.612576.6254+23.0128
1210:25 AM68.56470.6597+2.09575
1810:31 AM59.326775.3799+16.0533
2410:37 AM14.841691.2997+76.4581
2910:42 AM45.463248.0808+2.61761

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.