Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 7, 2026, 6:08 AM to 6:37 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 7, 2026 at 6:08 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 18.5138. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:37 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

12.6446.5780.5Oct 7, 6:08 AM ET6:37 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 6:08 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

12.6446.5780.5Oct 7, 6:08 AM ET6:37 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:08 AM ET18.5138
Projected value at 6:37 AM ET51.0469
Actual value at 6:37 AM ET66.1815
Projected change across the window+32.5331
Actual change across the window+47.6677
Bars moving the same direction18 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.68×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.68 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 64% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (6:26 AM ET), where they sat 1.51308 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (6:09 AM ET) with a gap of 68.7258. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (6:27 AM ET), a move of +17.4253. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:09 AM81.426112.7002-68.7258
66:14 AM52.320110.0462-42.2739
126:20 AM48.043226.0163-22.0269
186:26 AM48.902647.3896-1.51308
246:32 AM51.100859.2105+8.10976
296:37 AM51.046966.1815+15.1346

About Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high-low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.