Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 9:02 PM to 9:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 9:02 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 42.1082. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.75835.7462.72Oct 6, 9:02 PM ET9:31 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 9:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.75835.7462.72Oct 6, 9:02 PM ET9:31 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:02 PM ET42.1082
Projected value at 9:31 PM ET47.8037
Actual value at 9:31 PM ET37.2807
Projected change across the window+5.69551
Actual change across the window-4.8275
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.18×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.18 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (9:04 PM ET), where they sat 0.12278 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (9:26 PM ET) with a gap of 36.5054. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (9:12 PM ET), a move of +16.4162. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:03 PM32.27636.1674+3.89133
69:08 PM36.432410.7843-25.6481
129:14 PM38.872461.409+22.5366
189:20 PM38.353216.3983-21.9548
249:26 PM41.63965.1342-36.5054
299:31 PM47.803737.2807-10.523

About Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high-low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.