Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 9:42 AM to 10:11 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 9:42 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.86265. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:11 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.9248.6186.3Sep 30, 9:42 AM ET10:11 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 9:42 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.9248.6186.3Sep 30, 9:42 AM ET10:11 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:42 AM ET5.86265
Projected value at 10:11 AM ET44.3847
Actual value at 10:11 AM ET55.7569
Projected change across the window+38.5221
Actual change across the window+49.8942
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.77×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.77 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (9:53 AM ET), where they sat 4.60737 apart, and furthest at bar 27 (10:09 AM ET) with a gap of 45.5165. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (9:54 AM ET), a move of -22.3308. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:43 AM52.21299.37165-42.8412
69:48 AM45.886157.9075+12.0214
129:54 AM48.666230.2205-18.4457
1810:00 AM45.93257.1201+11.1881
2410:06 AM43.12671.123+27.997
2910:11 AM44.384755.7569+11.3722

About Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high-low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.