Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 1:36 AM to 2:05 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 30, 2026 at 1:36 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 86.2295. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:05 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

15.6753.2190.76Sep 30, 1:36 AM ET2:05 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 1:36 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

15.6753.2190.76Sep 30, 1:36 AM ET2:05 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:36 AM ET86.2295
Projected value at 2:05 AM ET58.5503
Actual value at 2:05 AM ET33.584
Projected change across the window-27.6793
Actual change across the window-52.6455
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.53 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (1:39 AM ET), where they sat 2.68726 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (1:42 AM ET) with a gap of 57.6929. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (1:41 AM ET), a move of -27.4309. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:37 AM93.94786.5889-7.35815
61:42 AM86.014328.3214-57.6929
121:48 AM75.815261.1111-14.7041
181:54 AM64.412911.8067-52.6062
242:00 AM62.00417.9487-44.0552
292:05 AM58.550333.584-24.9663

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Future price action Stochastics for MT5 Yes. Alongside the regular Stochastics, PredictIndicators shows where the Stochastics is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

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MetaTrader AI futures chart reader for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures Yes. The same PredictIndicators predictions run on MetaTrader 5 charts, with one licence covering MT5 and NinjaTrader 8. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.