Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 2:11 PM to 2:40 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 2:11 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 25.9587. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:40 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.57147.9288.27Sep 29, 2:11 PM ET2:40 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:11 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.57147.9288.27Sep 29, 2:11 PM ET2:40 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:11 PM ET25.9587
Projected value at 2:40 PM ET51.5086
Actual value at 2:40 PM ET2.15273
Projected change across the window+25.5499
Actual change across the window-23.806
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.07×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.07 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (2:31 PM ET), where they sat 2.76309 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (2:40 PM ET) with a gap of 49.3559. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (2:31 PM ET), a move of -19.7285. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:12 PM56.104734.4527-21.652
62:17 PM37.44559.9935+22.5485
122:23 PM48.247970.2497+22.0019
182:29 PM53.27686.8237+33.5477
242:35 PM53.610429.2024-24.4079
292:40 PM51.50862.15273-49.3559

About Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high-low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.