Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 1:07 PM to 1:36 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 1:07 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 89.731. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:36 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.79146.1884.57Sep 29, 1:07 PM ET1:36 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 1:07 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.79146.1884.57Sep 29, 1:07 PM ET1:36 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:07 PM ET89.731
Projected value at 1:36 PM ET35.4712
Actual value at 1:36 PM ET22.9435
Projected change across the window-54.2598
Actual change across the window-66.7875
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (1:25 PM ET), where they sat 7.19172 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (1:28 PM ET) with a gap of 35.6379. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (1:14 PM ET), a move of -20.4444. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:08 PM54.641975.1004+20.4585
61:13 PM35.437247.5556+12.1184
121:19 PM36.537422.2222-14.3152
181:25 PM40.507333.3155-7.19172
241:31 PM37.249816.9515-20.2983
291:36 PM35.471222.9435-12.5277

About Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high-low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.