Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 7:19 AM to 7:48 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 7:19 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 60.8333. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:48 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

19.350.6381.96Sep 29, 7:19 AM ET7:48 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 7:19 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

19.350.6381.96Sep 29, 7:19 AM ET7:48 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:19 AM ET60.8333
Projected value at 7:48 AM ET65.3609
Actual value at 7:48 AM ET65.523
Projected change across the window+4.52761
Actual change across the window+4.68965
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (7:48 AM ET), where they sat 0.162035 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (7:37 AM ET) with a gap of 46.3993. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (7:36 AM ET), a move of -24.943. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:20 AM63.205648.3527-14.8529
67:25 AM80.074680.4989+0.424268
127:31 AM70.554576.9634+6.40891
187:37 AM61.49515.0957-46.3993
247:43 AM62.08750.2011-11.8859
297:48 AM65.360965.523+0.162035

About Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high-low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.