Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 12:25 AM to 12:54 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 29, 2026 at 12:25 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 8.11404. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:54 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.53340.975.26Sep 29, 12:25 AM ET12:54 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:25 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.53340.975.26Sep 29, 12:25 AM ET12:54 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:25 AM ET8.11404
Projected value at 12:54 AM ET43.0073
Actual value at 12:54 AM ET70.4912
Projected change across the window+34.8932
Actual change across the window+62.3772
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (12:37 AM ET), where they sat 1.28955 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (12:26 AM ET) with a gap of 73.2028. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (12:35 AM ET), a move of +18.0087. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:26 AM79.87336.67049-73.2028
612:31 AM50.653423.0621-27.5912
1212:37 AM42.216143.5057+1.28955
1812:43 AM37.594458.7097+21.1153
2412:49 AM42.545746.5753+4.02967
2912:54 AM43.007370.4912+27.484

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.