Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 10:08 PM to 10:37 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 28, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 93.0296. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:37 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

14.3351.2188.08Sep 28, 10:08 PM ET10:37 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:08 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

14.3351.2188.08Sep 28, 10:08 PM ET10:37 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:08 PM ET93.0296
Projected value at 10:37 PM ET39.8098
Actual value at 10:37 PM ET26.4151
Projected change across the window-53.2199
Actual change across the window-66.6145
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.80 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (10:21 PM ET), where they sat 3.7318 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:08 PM ET) with a gap of 75.9301. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (10:11 PM ET), a move of -23.2628. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:09 PM15.081875.083+60.0012
610:14 PM24.019742.6984+18.6787
1210:20 PM39.191268.3838+29.1927
1810:26 PM44.87549.38096-35.4944
2410:32 PM43.032913.8448-29.1881
2910:37 PM39.809826.4151-13.3947

About Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high-low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.