Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 12:31 PM to 1:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 16, 2026 at 12:31 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 10.0828. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

14.8850.6286.36Sep 16, 12:31 PM ET1:00 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

14.8850.6286.36Sep 16, 12:31 PM ET1:00 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:31 PM ET10.0828
Projected value at 1:00 PM ET47.7477
Actual value at 1:00 PM ET62.9969
Projected change across the window+37.6649
Actual change across the window+52.9141
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.71×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.71 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (12:47 PM ET), where they sat 0.856522 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:31 PM ET) with a gap of 47.6545. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:32 PM ET), a move of +24.0067. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:32 PM56.716634.0895-22.6272
612:37 PM58.457950.2646-8.19333
1212:43 PM48.628746.1494-2.47935
1812:49 PM47.420752.5576+5.13688
2412:55 PM48.4491.1579+42.7179
291:00 PM47.747762.9969+15.2493

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Future candle indicator for MNQ in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of MNQ, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.