Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 10:41 AM to 11:10 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 16, 2026 at 10:41 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 92.7414. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:10 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

39.464.3989.38Sep 16, 10:41 AM ET11:10 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:41 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

39.464.3989.38Sep 16, 10:41 AM ET11:10 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:41 AM ET92.7414
Projected value at 11:10 AM ET47.822
Actual value at 11:10 AM ET38.0444
Projected change across the window-44.9194
Actual change across the window-54.697
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (10:46 AM ET), where they sat 0.242634 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:41 AM ET) with a gap of 34.0113. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (10:47 AM ET), a move of -13.5802. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:42 AM70.748687.3932+16.6445
610:47 AM70.404458.0247-12.3797
1210:53 AM56.809968.306+11.4962
1810:59 AM49.35259.4982+10.1462
2411:05 AM49.910147.2552-2.65483
2911:10 AM47.82238.0444-9.77762

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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NinjaTrader can AI predict candle direction for MNQ PredictIndicators draws the predicted next 30 candles of MNQ on your NinjaTrader 8 chart, to the right of the last bar, and updates them in real time. They are predictions, not certainties. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

NinjaTrader how is prediction accuracy measured for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.