Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 12:26 PM to 12:55 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 11, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 81.021. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:55 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

17.6951.3885.08Sep 11, 12:26 PM ET12:55 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:26 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

17.6951.3885.08Sep 11, 12:26 PM ET12:55 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:26 PM ET81.021
Projected value at 12:55 PM ET50.955
Actual value at 12:55 PM ET50
Projected change across the window-30.0661
Actual change across the window-31.021
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:55 PM ET), where they sat 0.954964 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:26 PM ET) with a gap of 62.1535. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (12:43 PM ET), a move of -23.8885. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:27 PM25.906565.3035+39.3969
612:32 PM46.363480.8527+34.4894
1212:38 PM49.941557.0313+7.08971
1812:44 PM51.042915.6863-35.3566
2412:50 PM51.599917.3302-34.2697
2912:55 PM50.95550-0.954964

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.