Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 9, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 9, 2026, 10:30 AM to 10:59 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 9, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 69.9335. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:59 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

15.0550.6586.25Sep 9, 10:30 AM ET10:59 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:30 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

15.0550.6586.25Sep 9, 10:30 AM ET10:59 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:30 AM ET69.9335
Projected value at 10:59 AM ET35.637
Actual value at 10:59 AM ET10.2676
Projected change across the window-34.2965
Actual change across the window-59.6659
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (10:43 AM ET), where they sat 1.28811 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (10:39 AM ET) with a gap of 32.2698. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (10:42 AM ET), a move of -17.2743. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:31 AM89.712762.775-26.9377
610:36 AM69.094759.0525-10.0423
1210:42 AM44.213259.6806+15.4674
1810:48 AM48.036458.6098+10.5734
2410:54 AM43.802850.7858+6.98305
2910:59 AM35.63710.2676-25.3694

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.