Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 9:39 AM to 10:08 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 9:39 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 18.068. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:08 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.4438.2669.08Sep 3, 9:39 AM ET10:08 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 9:39 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.4438.2669.08Sep 3, 9:39 AM ET10:08 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:39 AM ET18.068
Projected value at 10:08 AM ET46.0296
Actual value at 10:08 AM ET47.7343
Projected change across the window+27.9617
Actual change across the window+29.6663
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (10:08 AM ET), where they sat 1.70467 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (9:47 AM ET) with a gap of 59.2894. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (9:59 AM ET), a move of +20.674. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:40 AM70.630314.4168-56.2136
69:45 AM64.168619.3849-44.7837
129:51 AM63.639921.0457-42.5941
189:57 AM43.647521.1661-22.4815
2410:03 AM44.515762.8708+18.3552
2910:08 AM46.029647.7343+1.70467

About Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high-low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.