Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 1:31 PM to 2:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 1:31 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 37.6949. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2859.6291.24Sep 2, 1:31 PM ET2:00 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 1:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2859.6291.24Sep 2, 1:31 PM ET2:00 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:31 PM ET37.6949
Projected value at 2:00 PM ET23.7496
Actual value at 2:00 PM ET54.2496
Projected change across the window-13.9453
Actual change across the window+16.5547
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (1:37 PM ET), where they sat 1.27351 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (1:46 PM ET) with a gap of 55.542. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:32 PM ET), a move of +23.0246. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:32 PM91.757860.7195-31.0383
61:37 PM83.968285.2417+1.27351
121:43 PM37.6788.1384+50.4684
181:49 PM48.320385.3049+36.9846
241:55 PM47.151288.9659+41.8147
292:00 PM23.749654.2496+30.5

About Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high-low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.