Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 15 minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 4:18 PM to 11:33 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 8, 2026 at 4:18 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 15 minute chart read 64.8004. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:33 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

14.3543.2372.1Sep 8, 4:18 PM ET11:33 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 4:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

14.3543.2372.1Sep 8, 4:18 PM ET11:33 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:18 PM ET64.8004
Projected value at 11:33 PM ET49.0171
Actual value at 11:33 PM ET51.6432
Projected change across the window-15.7833
Actual change across the window-13.1572
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.20×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.20 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (6:33 PM ET), where they sat 1.05275 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (8:18 PM ET) with a gap of 39.1871. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (10:18 PM ET), a move of +22.7862. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:33 PM58.669275.9826+17.3134
65:48 PM53.368150.9804-2.38774
127:18 PM48.446615.7143-32.7323
188:48 PM49.564414.6465-34.9179
2410:18 PM49.147862.4883+13.3405
2911:33 PM49.017151.6432+2.62606

About Stochastic %K on a 15 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 15 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 7.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 7.5 hours of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.