Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — M2K, 5 minute chart, November 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 13, 2026, 12:25 PM to 2:50 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 13, 2026 at 12:25 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the M2K 5 minute chart read 12.9112. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:50 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

17.6953.2488.8Nov 13, 12:25 PM ET2:50 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:25 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

17.6953.2488.8Nov 13, 12:25 PM ET2:50 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:25 PM ET12.9112
Projected value at 2:50 PM ET75.585
Actual value at 2:50 PM ET66.9272
Projected change across the window+62.6738
Actual change across the window+54.016
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.16×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.16 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (2:45 PM ET), where they sat 2.66799 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:25 PM ET) with a gap of 48.3246. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (1:45 PM ET), a move of +13.7912. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:30 PM55.007916.9753-38.0327
612:55 PM60.525338.0282-22.4971
121:25 PM21.087229.6231+8.53588
181:55 PM50.983466.5045+15.5212
242:25 PM68.287191.3855+23.0983
292:50 PM75.58566.9272-8.65779

About Stochastic %K on a 5 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of M2K activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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NinjaTrader AI prediction error analysis for M2K A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.