Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — M2K, 5 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 11:18 PM to 1:43 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 12, 2026 at 11:18 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the M2K 5 minute chart read 9.35895. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:43 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

6.9146.5986.27Nov 12, 11:18 PM ET1:43 AM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

6.9146.5986.27Nov 12, 11:18 PM ET1:43 AM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:18 PM ET9.35895
Projected value at 1:43 AM ET90.5217
Actual value at 1:43 AM ET85.0947
Projected change across the window+81.1628
Actual change across the window+75.7357
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.07×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.07 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (12:53 AM ET), where they sat 0.454823 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (1:23 AM ET) with a gap of 22.9108. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (12:48 AM ET), a move of +17.8295. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:23 PM12.27951.58117-10.6983
611:48 PM9.5819218.2852+8.70326
1212:18 AM57.023948.8372-8.18674
1812:48 AM44.532843.4109-1.12191
241:18 AM51.466970.1461+18.6792
291:43 AM90.521785.0947-5.42707

About Stochastic %K on a 5 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of M2K activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.