Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — M2K, 5 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 1:54 PM to 4:19 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 12, 2026 at 1:54 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the M2K 5 minute chart read 39.6146. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:19 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

11.1750.9390.68Nov 12, 1:54 PM ET4:19 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 1:54 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

11.1750.9390.68Nov 12, 1:54 PM ET4:19 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:54 PM ET39.6146
Projected value at 4:19 PM ET66.7569
Actual value at 4:19 PM ET87.4453
Projected change across the window+27.1422
Actual change across the window+47.8307
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (3:44 PM ET), where they sat 0.656898 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (2:04 PM ET) with a gap of 34.5426. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (2:39 PM ET), a move of +14.5679. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:59 PM5.9606939.6633+33.7027
62:24 PM26.50656.58537-19.9211
122:54 PM21.635854.321+32.6852
183:24 PM59.324674.9833+15.6587
243:54 PM73.928996.0196+22.0908
294:19 PM66.756987.4453+20.6884

About Stochastic %K on a 5 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of M2K activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Download NinjaTrader 8 artificial intelligence Stochastics PredictIndicators draws the predicted Stochastics for M2K up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the Stochastics you already use. Stochastics indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.