Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — M2K, 5 minute chart, November 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 11, 2026, 6:44 PM to 9:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 11, 2026 at 6:44 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the M2K 5 minute chart read 92.3048. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

24.9356.588.06Nov 11, 6:44 PM ET9:09 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 6:44 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

24.9356.588.06Nov 11, 6:44 PM ET9:09 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:44 PM ET92.3048
Projected value at 9:09 PM ET62.5838
Actual value at 9:09 PM ET75.2831
Projected change across the window-29.721
Actual change across the window-17.0217
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.75 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (8:24 PM ET), where they sat 0.0489225 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (8:39 PM ET) with a gap of 53.2982. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (6:54 PM ET), a move of -24.5614. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:49 PM40.24489.1892+48.9452
67:14 PM47.992480.8511+32.8586
127:44 PM35.222553.2794+18.0569
188:14 PM41.574367.8095+26.2353
248:44 PM24.79971.2538+46.4548
299:09 PM62.583875.2831+12.6993

About Stochastic %K on a 5 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of M2K activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.