Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — M2K, 1 minute chart, November 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 13, 2026, 12:42 PM to 1:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 13, 2026 at 12:42 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the M2K 1 minute chart read 82.6087. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

17.9154.7691.6Nov 13, 12:42 PM ET1:11 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:42 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

17.9154.7691.6Nov 13, 12:42 PM ET1:11 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:42 PM ET82.6087
Projected value at 1:11 PM ET33.2773
Actual value at 1:11 PM ET49.0476
Projected change across the window-49.3314
Actual change across the window-33.5611
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.47×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.47 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (1:04 PM ET), where they sat 0.0715315 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (12:48 PM ET) with a gap of 54.1691. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (12:50 PM ET), a move of -26.7196. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:43 PM52.589391.1281+38.5388
612:48 PM36.307190.4762+54.1691
1212:54 PM44.344440.4762-3.86825
181:00 PM73.775961.9048-11.8711
241:06 PM87.209279.8771-7.33205
291:11 PM33.277349.0476+15.7703

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of M2K activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.