Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — M2K, 1 minute chart, November 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 13, 2026, 11:43 AM to 12:12 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 13, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET, Stochastic %K on the M2K 1 minute chart read 28.7135. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:12 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.33446.7585.17Nov 13, 11:43 AM ET12:12 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:43 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.33446.7585.17Nov 13, 11:43 AM ET12:12 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:43 AM ET28.7135
Projected value at 12:12 PM ET61.9057
Actual value at 12:12 PM ET71.5136
Projected change across the window+33.1922
Actual change across the window+42.8002
Bars moving the same direction17 of 28
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.78×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.78 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 61% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (11:47 AM ET), where they sat 0.524232 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (11:51 AM ET) with a gap of 70.4253. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (11:59 AM ET), a move of -24.5833. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:44 AM18.531213.1579-5.37329
611:49 AM44.591213.9785-30.6127
1211:55 AM71.982740.7407-31.242
1812:01 PM72.268427.0833-45.1851
2412:07 PM30.947829.2857-1.66206
2912:12 PM61.905771.5136+9.60795

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of M2K activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.