Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — Gold, 1 minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 1:34 PM to 2:03 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 2, 2026 at 1:34 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the Gold 1 minute chart read 8.44187. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:03 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.96737.465.83Sep 2, 1:34 PM ET2:03 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 1:34 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.96737.465.83Sep 2, 1:34 PM ET2:03 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:34 PM ET8.44187
Projected value at 2:03 PM ET48.594
Actual value at 2:03 PM ET66.8909
Projected change across the window+40.1522
Actual change across the window+58.449
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.69 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (2:02 PM ET), where they sat 4.55818 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:34 PM ET) with a gap of 52.4259. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (2:03 PM ET), a move of +22.294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:35 PM69.644919.3754-50.2695
61:40 PM53.268710.274-42.9947
121:46 PM51.144528.039-23.1055
181:52 PM46.79199.59235-37.1996
241:58 PM46.775412.6031-34.1722
292:03 PM48.59466.8909+18.2969

About Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Gold activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.