Stochastic %K forecast vs outcome — Gold, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 12:18 PM to 12:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET, Stochastic %K on the Gold 1-minute chart read 6.44238. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.2948.686.9Sep 2, 12:18 PM ET12:47 PM ET
Projected Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 12:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.2948.686.9Sep 2, 12:18 PM ET12:47 PM ET
Recorded Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:18 PM ET6.44238
Projected value at 12:47 PM ET50.8474
Actual value at 12:47 PM ET50.7199
Projected change across the window+44.405
Actual change across the window+44.2776
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:47 PM ET), where they sat 0.127467 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (12:19 PM ET) with a gap of 50.6588. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (12:31 PM ET), a move of +22.294. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:19 PM55.80755.14871-50.6588
612:24 PM56.209530.1075-26.102
1212:30 PM50.07844.5969-5.48115
1812:36 PM49.977371.8068+21.8294
2412:42 PM50.122627.8454-22.2772
2912:47 PM50.847450.7199-0.127467

About Stochastic %K on a 1-minute chart

The Stochastic oscillator places the latest close within its recent high-low range, which is why it oscillates between fixed bounds rather than trending. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Gold activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.