Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 5 minute chart, November 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 13, 2026, 2:21 AM to 4:46 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 13, 2026 at 2:21 AM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 5 minute chart read 62.963. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:46 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.40545.6585.9Nov 13, 2:21 AM ET4:46 AM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:21 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.40545.6585.9Nov 13, 2:21 AM ET4:46 AM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:21 AM ET62.963
Projected value at 4:46 AM ET23.8953
Actual value at 4:46 AM ET9.61538
Projected change across the window-39.0677
Actual change across the window-53.3476
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.73×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.73 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (4:26 AM ET), where they sat 3.12582 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (4:01 AM ET) with a gap of 63.6388. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (4:21 AM ET), a move of +64.3519. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:26 AM83.057559.2593-23.7982
62:51 AM69.345591.3043+21.9588
123:21 AM27.41833.07692-24.3414
183:51 AM64.636416.2162-48.4202
244:21 AM75.082479.1667+4.08432
294:46 AM23.89539.61538-14.2799

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 5 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.