Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 5 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 3:09 PM to 5:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 12, 2026 at 3:09 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 5 minute chart read 72.093. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

9.26250.9992.71Nov 12, 3:09 PM ET5:34 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 3:09 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

9.26250.9992.71Nov 12, 3:09 PM ET5:34 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:09 PM ET72.093
Projected value at 5:34 PM ET64.6536
Actual value at 5:34 PM ET66.6667
Projected change across the window-7.43946
Actual change across the window-5.42636
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.37×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.37 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (3:24 PM ET), where they sat 1.93755 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (4:14 PM ET) with a gap of 65.4556. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (5:19 PM ET), a move of +42.5926. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:14 PM15.405879.0698+63.664
63:39 PM46.599377.0833+30.484
124:09 PM75.504623.0769-52.4276
184:39 PM33.327447.4359+14.1085
245:09 PM21.05617.35294-13.7031
295:34 PM64.653666.6667+2.0131

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 5 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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NinjaTrader confidence score for next candles for Russell 2000 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.