Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 1 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 11:13 PM to 11:42 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 12, 2026 at 11:13 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 1 minute chart read 17.3913. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:42 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.925094.08Nov 12, 11:13 PM ET11:42 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 11:13 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.925094.08Nov 12, 11:13 PM ET11:42 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:13 PM ET17.3913
Projected value at 11:42 PM ET100
Actual value at 11:42 PM ET73.3333
Projected change across the window+82.6087
Actual change across the window+55.942
Bars moving the same direction15 of 25
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.48×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.48 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 60% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 2 (11:14 PM ET), where they sat 6.65237 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (11:25 PM ET) with a gap of 73.9285. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (11:14 PM ET), a move of +34.7826. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:14 PM45.521552.1739+6.65237
611:19 PM35.38979.09091-26.2988
1211:25 PM14.642988.5714+73.9285
1811:31 PM35.396888.2353+52.8385
2411:37 PM76.6295100+23.3705
2911:42 PM10073.3333-26.6667

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.