Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 1 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 10:02 PM to 10:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 12, 2026 at 10:02 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 1 minute chart read 100. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

11.6653.0594.44Nov 12, 10:02 PM ET10:31 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 10:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

11.6653.0594.44Nov 12, 10:02 PM ET10:31 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:02 PM ET100
Projected value at 10:31 PM ET12.7808
Actual value at 10:31 PM ET38.8889
Projected change across the window-87.2192
Actual change across the window-61.1111
Bars moving the same direction17 of 27
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.43×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.43 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 63% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (10:10 PM ET), where they sat 0.972395 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (10:07 PM ET) with a gap of 60.0344. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (10:07 PM ET), a move of -63.6364. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:03 PM76.850781.8182+4.96752
610:08 PM53.97745.4545-8.52244
1210:14 PM39.979841.1765+1.19667
1810:20 PM51.760895.2381+43.4773
2410:26 PM25.844484.2105+58.3661
2910:31 PM12.780838.8889+26.1081

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.