Fast Stochastic %K prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 1 minute chart, November 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 11, 2026, 2:12 PM to 2:41 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 11, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET, Fast Stochastic %K on the E mini Russell 2000 1 minute chart read 40.404. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:41 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.925094.08Nov 11, 2:12 PM ET2:41 PM ET
Projected Fast Stochastic %K path, 30 bars from 2:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.925094.08Nov 11, 2:12 PM ET2:41 PM ET
Recorded Fast Stochastic %K values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:12 PM ET40.404
Projected value at 2:41 PM ET17.0089
Actual value at 2:41 PM ET8.58896
Projected change across the window-23.3951
Actual change across the window-31.8151
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Fast Stochastic %K to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.74 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (2:26 PM ET), where they sat 0.286953 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (2:32 PM ET) with a gap of 60.322. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (2:38 PM ET), a move of -36.7795. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:13 PM17.286637.1429+19.8563
62:18 PM39.825315.1515-24.6737
122:24 PM39.687556.5217+16.8343
182:30 PM75.074362.6761-12.3982
242:36 PM53.831279.4521+25.6209
292:41 PM17.00898.58896-8.41998

About Fast Stochastic %K on a 1 minute chart

The fast Stochastic applies less smoothing than the standard version, so it turns sooner and moves more sharply. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.